You are here
Home > Latest Posts > Devices > Symbian Devices > 808 Pureview > Nokia Q4 2012 Smartphone sales prediction: 9.8 million devices sold !!

Nokia Q4 2012 Smartphone sales prediction: 9.8 million devices sold !!

imagesCAWQM6C1

Q4 2012 Smartphone sales predictions:

Last we tried to find out how many Lumia WP8 devices Nokia might have sold in Q4 2012 and it seems Nokia may have sold 4 million Lumia WP8 devices including Lumia 920, 820, 822 and 810 in Q4.

So, we need to find out how many Lumia WP7.5 devices and Symbian devices were sold for predicting total smartphone sold by Nokia in Q4 2012.

Lumia 800 has been a star performer for Nokia in Q4 around the world. Adduplex’s stats for November and December show that Lumia 800 has kept its share constant at 18% while other WP7 devices have seen their share eroding. Only Lumia 510 has seen its share rising from 1 to 2 % from November to December.

In our earlier article, we have used following numbers for calculation.

Total WP7 and 8 device no. till Q3 2012- 18.5 million

Total WP7 and 8 device no. till Q4 2012- 28 million

WP Devices sold in Q4 – 9.5 million. It may distribute  as 1.25 : 4 : 4.25  across, October : November : December, considering “Steve Ballmer’s statement that WP8 sales started 4 times better and during christmas time, it was around 5 times better than Q4 2011 ( 2.75 million)”.

So, it seems Lumia 800 may have sold, 3*0.18*4.25= 2.3 million devices.

Lumia 510 has increased its share from 1 to 2% from November to December.

So, it may have sold 28 *0.02 = 0.56 million devices, since it was launched only in November.

Adding other WP7 devices’ Lumia 900, 710 and 610 probable sales figures to this we may reach to a WP 7 Lumia sales figure of apprx 2.3 +.56 + 1.2 = 4 million Lumia WP7 devices to be exact.

Coming to Symbian devices, last quarter Nokia sold 3.4 million Symbian devices, and we predicted that Symbian may again hit 2 million devices sales even in Q4 2012. Now, we think that Symbian sales may have been slightly affected after launch of Lumia 510 in Symbian strongholds like India, China etc. So, may be Symbian sold 1.8 million devices.

Hence, finally it looks like Nokia may have sold 4 million WP8 + 4 million WP7 + 1.8 million Symbian devices = 9.8 million Smartphones in Q4 2012.

Only one disclaimer here: Shipments which Nokia usually reports in Financial results may vary from actual sales numbers, as devices sold in particular quarter may have been shipped earlier as well.

Advertisements
Nayan

Nayan has more than 10 years of experience of covering Technology and innovations. He is a big Nokia fan and Tech disruptions aficionado. He loves to review new cool gadgets and writing about Android, iOS, Gadgets and general Technology stuff. He has been associated with other well-known Tech sites WinCentral and GadgetOx since long.

He currently sports a Lumia 950 XL and Nexus 5X. Other interests include listening to Nu-Metal Hits and Kick-Boxing.
Write to him at Email: [email protected]

http://www.nokiapoweruser.com
  • Jay

    They turned out even better than you predicted! Well done for being on the right side. I guess everyone who likes Nokia is pleased with today’s press release.

    • Achtung

      “They turned out even better than you predicted! Well done for being on the right side. I guess everyone who likes Nokia is pleased with today’s press release” – Are you okay????
      Est. 4 million WP8 + 4 million WP7 + 1.8 million Symbian
      Real results: 4.4 millions WP7+WP8 and 2.2 millions Symbian

      • Shipments which Nokia has shown as 4.4 million are different from actual sales. Lumia 800, 900, 610 were in stock even before Q4. So, in fact they must have been shipped before. Only Lumia 510 was introduced in this quarter.If you read last para of the article, you will notice my disclaimer about sales and shipments.

        P.S. Though even I admit that this 4.4 should have been around 6 million !!

  • Mitten

    Did You factor in Nokia’s presumed market share of Windows Phones sold, 70-75-80% ?

    • Why presume nything, when we can derive onto something.Wot say ;).

  • pentti penttinen

    Intresting calculations. I understood that Ballmer meant that the WP is selling 5 times more in the christmas week only, not the whole quartal.Otherwise keep up the good work.

    • That’s why you see 4.25 in Decemeber, otherwise it could have been 5 :).

Top